2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election

2023 Socialist Party leadership election
Socialist Party
← 2014 15–16 December 2023
Turnout68.7%
 
Pedro Nuno Santos, projecto da alta velocidade Lisboa-Porto-Vigo (2022-10-01), cropped.png
José Luis Carneiro (cropped).jpg
Candidate Pedro Nuno Santos José Luís Carneiro
Popular vote 24,219 14,891
Percentage 60.8% 37.4%
Results by Party Federation.
Secretary-General before election

António Costa

 Elected Secretary-General

Pedro Nuno Santos

The 2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election was held on 15 and 16 December 2023.[1] The leadership ballot was called after Prime Minister and Socialist Party Secretary-General António Costa resigned from office on 7 November 2023.[2] The winner of this election led the Socialist Party into the 2024 legislative election.

The declared candidates included the former Infrastructure and Housing Minister Pedro Nuno Santos, who represented the leftist faction of the party and wants to build upon the legacy of António Costa, Internal Administration Minister José Luís Carneiro, who represented the moderate faction and a continuation of Costism, and Daniel Adrião, a longtime critic of Costa as Secretary-General, who represented a rupture.

Even with the candidates claiming the contrary, this leadership election was viewed as another ideological dispute to decide what direction the party and the country should take, similar to the leadership elections of 2014 between Costa and Seguro, of 2004 between José Sócrates and Manuel Alegre and of 1992 between António Guterres and Jorge Sampaio.

With a turnout rate of around 70%, Pedro Nuno Santos was elected as the new Secretary-General of the Socialist Party with almost 61% of the votes, against the 37% of José Luís Carneiro. Daniel Adrião polled below 1%.[3]

Candidates

Declared

Name Born Experience Announcement date Ref.

José Luís Carneiro 		4 October 1971
(age 52)
Baião 		Minister of Internal Administration (2022–2024)
Member of Parliament for Braga (since 2022)
Deputy Secretary-general of the Socialist Party (2019–2022)
Secretary of State for Portuguese Communities (2015–2019)
Mayor of Baião (2005–2015)
Member of Parliament for Porto (2005; 2015–2022) 		10 November 2023 [4]

Pedro Nuno Santos 		13 April 1977
(age 46)
São João da Madeira 		Member of Parliament for Aveiro (since 2005)
Minister of Infrastructure and Housing (2019–2023)
Secretary of State for Parliament Affairs (2015–2019)
Secretary-general of the Socialist Youth (2004–2008) 		13 November 2023 [5]
Daniel Adrião 1 September 1967
(age 56) 		Member of the National Commission of the Socialist Party (since 2016)
Political activist
Candidate in the PS leadership elections of 2016, 2018 and 2021 		17 November 2023 [6]

Declined

Notable endorsements

José Luís Carneiro
Ministers
Members of the Assembly of the Republic
  • António Lacerda Sales, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Leiria (2015–2024); Secretary of State for Health (2019–2022)[21]
  • Augusto Santos Silva, President of the Assembly of the Republic (2022–2024), Minister of Foreign Affairs (2015–2022), Minister of National Defense (2009–2011), Minister of Parliamentary Affairs (2005–2009), Minister of Culture (2001–2002), Minister of Education (2000–2001)[22]
  • Berta Nunes, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Bragança (2023–2024) and Chair of the Bragança Federation of the Socialist Party[23]
  • Eurico Brilhante Dias, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Leiria (since 2022), president of the Socialist Parliamentary Caucus (since 2022) and Secretary of State of Internationalization (2017-2022)[24]
  • Jamila Madeira, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Faro (since 1999)[23]
  • João Azevedo, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Viseu (since 2019)[23]
  • Luís Capoulas Santos, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Évora (2019–2024), Minister of Agriculture (1998–2002, 2015–2019) and Member of the European Parliament (2004–2014)[25]
  • Maria Antónia Almeida Santos, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Setúbal (2005–2024)[15]
  • Maria da Luz Rosinha, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (2015–2024) and Mayor of Vila Franca de Xira (1998–2013)[15]
  • Paula Custódio Reis, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Castelo Branco (2022–2024)[16]
  • Paulo Pisco, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Europe (since 1999)[26]
  • Pedro Cegonho, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (2019–2024)[15]
  • Romualda Fernandes, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (2019–2024)[16]
  • Susana Amador, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (2015–2024) and Mayor of Odivelas (2005–2015)[15]
MEPs
Mayors
  • Antero Barbosa, Mayor of Fafe (since 2021)[18]
  • Basílio Horta, Mayor of Sintra (since 2013), Vice Prime Minister (1981), Minister of Commerce (1978, 1980-1983), Candidate in the 1991 Portuguese presidential election and founding member of the CDS – People's Party[18]
  • Joaquim Barreto, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Braga (since 2015) and mayor of Cabeceiras de Basto (1993–2013)[28]
  • Leopoldo Rodrigues, Mayor of Castelo Branco (since 2021)[18]
  • Nuno Vaz Ribeiro, Mayor of Chaves (since 2017)[23]
  • Paulo Arsénio, Mayor of Beja (since 2017)[18]
  • Paulo Cafôfo, Mayor of Funchal (2013–2019) and Secretary of State for Portuguese Communities (since 2022)[23]
  • Rui Solheiro, Secretary-general of the Portuguese National Association of Municipalities (since 2013), Mayor of Melgaço (1982–2012) and Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Viana do Castelo (1995–2002)[25]
Individuals
Pedro Nuno Santos
Ministers
Members of the Assembly of the Republic
  • Alexandra Leitão, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Santarém (since 2022) and Minister for the Modernization of the State and Public Administration (2019–2022)[32]
  • Alexandre Quintanilha, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Porto (2015–2024)[33]
  • Carlos João Pereira, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Madeira (since 2015)[33]
  • Edite Estrela, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (since 1987), Vice President of the Assembly of the Republic (since 2015), Member of the European Parliament (2004–2014) and Mayor of Sintra (1994–2002)[34]
  • Francisco César, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Azores (since 2022)[32]
  • Hugo Costa, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Santarém (since 2015) and Chair of the Santarém Federation of the Socialist Party[35]
  • Isabel Moreira, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (since 2011)[36]
  • João Paulo Rebelo, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Viseu (2015–2024)[32]
  • João Torres, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Porto (since 2015) and Deputy Secretary-General of the Socialist Party (since 2022)[33]
  • Luís Graça, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Faro (since 2015) and Chair of the Algarve Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
  • Manuel Alegre, Member of the Council of State (since 2022; 1996–2002), Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (2002–2009) and for Coimbra (1975–2002) and candidate in the 2006 and 2011 Portuguese presidential election[37]
  • Maria Begonha, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (since 2019)[33]
  • Miguel Costa Matos, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (since 2019) and Secretary General of the Socialist Youth (since 2020)[32]
  • Nelson Brito, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Beja (since 2022) and Chair of the Lower Alentejo Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
  • Patrícia Faro, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Porto (since 2022)[33]
  • Pedro Delgado Alves, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (since 2011)[33]
  • Porfírio Silva, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Aveiro (2015–2024)[33]
  • Tiago Barbosa Ribeiro, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Porto (since 2015)[38]
MEPs
Mayors
  • Domingos Bragança, Mayor of Guimarães (since 2013)[42]
  • Eduardo Vítor Rodrigues, Mayor of Vila Nova de Gaia (since 2013) and Chair of the Porto Federation of the Socialist Party[43]
  • Fredrico Castro, Mayor of Póvoa de Lanhoso (since 2021) and Chair of the Braga Federation of the Socialist Party[42]
  • Gonçalo Lopes, Mayor of Leiria (since 2019)[44]
  • Isilda Gomes, Mayor of Portimão (since 2013) and Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Faro (2009–2011)[35]
  • Jorge Sequeira, Mayor of São João da Madeira (since 2017) and Chair of the Aveiro Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
  • Luísa Salgueiro, Mayor of Matosinhos (since 2017), President of the Portuguese National Association of Municipalities (since 2021) and Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Porto (2005–2017)[32]
  • Luís Machado, Mayor of Santa Marta de Penaguião (since 2013) and Chair of the Vila Real Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
  • Vítor Manuel Pereira, Mayor of Covilhã (since 2013) and Chair of the Castelo Branco Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
  • Vítor Paulo Pereira, Mayor of Paredes de Coura (since 2013) and Chair of the Viana do Castelo Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
  • Walter Chicharro, Mayor of Nazaré (2013–2024) and Chair of the Leiria Federation of the Socialist Party[45]
Declined to endorse
Prime Ministers
Ministers
Members of the Assembly of the Republic
  • Marta Temido, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Coimbra (2022–2024), Minister of Health (2018-2022) and Chair of the Lisbon Socialist Party (since 2023)[48]

Campaign period

Candidates' slogans

Candidate Original slogan English translation Refs
José Luís Carneiro « Por Todos. Para Todos » "By All. For All" [49]
Pedro Nuno Santos « Portugal Inteiro » "Whole Portugal" [49]
Daniel Adrião « Democracia Plena » "Full Democracy" [50]

Candidates' debates

José Luís Carneiro and Daniel Adrião proposed a series of debates between the candidates, but Pedro Nuno Santos refused to participate in any debate. Therefore, no debates between the candidates to the leadership were held.[51]


Opinion polling

All voters

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Others/
Undecided 		Lead
Nuno Santos Carneiro
ICS/ISCTE 18–27 Nov 2023 803 26 24 50 2
CESOP–UCP 15–24 Nov 2023 1,102 29 38 33 9
Aximage 18–23 Nov 2023 802 52 26 22 26
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 2023 604 31.7 28.1 40.2 3.6
Aximage 10–13 Nov 2023 504 32 18 50[a] 14
Aximage 8–9 Nov 2023 516 30 9 61[b] 21

PS voters

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Others/
Undecided 		Lead
Nuno Santos Carneiro
ICS/ISCTE 18–27 Nov 2023 ? 37 32 31 5
CESOP–UCP 15–24 Nov 2023 ? 39 34 27 5
Aximage 18–23 Nov 2023 ? 61 26 13 35
Aximage 10–13 Nov 2023 ? 31 23 47[c] 8
Hypothetical polling

All voters

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Others/

Undecided

Lead
Medina Santos Silva Nuno Santos Vieira da Silva Mendes Adão
ICS/ISCTE 10–18 Sep 2022 807 12 8 6 4 3 1 65 4

PS voters

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Others/

Undecided

Lead
Medina Santos Silva Nuno Santos Vieira da Silva Mendes
ICS/ISCTE 10–18 Sep 2022 807 15 16 6 6 5 51 1

Results

National summary

Candidate 15 & 16 December 2023
Votes %
Pedro Nuno Santos 24,219 60.83
José Luís Carneiro 14,891 37.40
Daniel Adrião 382 0.96
Total 39,492
Valid votes 39,492 99.19
Invalid and blank ballots 322 0.81
Votes cast / turnout 39,814 68.65
Registered voters 57,993
Source:[52]
Vote share
Pedro Nuno Santos
 
 60.83%
José Luís Carneiro
 
 37.40%
Daniel Adrião
 
 0.96%
Blank/Invalid
 
 0.81%

Results by party federation

The following table shows a breakdown of the results of the election by party federation, which are mostly equal to the electoral circles.[52]

Result breakdown of the 2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election
Federation Pedro Nuno Santos José Luís Carneiro Daniel Adrião Invalid
ballots 		Votes cast Registered
Votes % Votes % Votes %
Algarve 710 62.50 413 36.36 12 1.06 1 1,136 1,491
Aveiro 1,299 75.17 404 23.38 10 0.58 15 1,728 2,096
Baixo Alentejo 405 56.96 291 40.93 6 0.84 9 711 862
Braga 2,928 55.37 2,280 43.12 19 0.36 61 5,288 7,897
Bragança 560 58.82 373 39.18 9 0.95 10 952 1,131
Castelo Branco 549 58.10 373 39.47 5 0.53 18 945 1,123
Coimbra 1,874 68.80 800 29.37 35 1.28 15 2,724 3,506
Évora 270 63.08 145 33.88 8 1.87 5 428 534
Guarda 487 60.05 317 39.09 5 0.62 2 811 986
Leiria 611 58.58 410 39.31 13 1.25 9 1,043 1,249
Lisbon: Urban Area 3,265 66.85 1,519 31.10 61 1.25 39 4,884 7,165
Lisbon: Oeste 126 36.42 212 61.27 5 1.45 3 346 415
Portalegre 544 68.77 230 29.08 8 1.01 9 791 1,036
Porto 4,951 56.88 3,627 41.67 53 0.61 73 8,704 11,321
Santarém 752 70.28 293 27.38 16 1.50 9 1,070 1,252
Setúbal 1,382 66.38 656 31.51 27 1.30 17 2,082 2,942
Viana do Castelo 546 65.00 289 34.40 4 0.48 1 840 976
Vila Real 499 46.81 557 52.25 10 0.94 0 1,066 1,316
Viseu 1,386 67.68 635 31.01 3 0.15 24 2,048 2,478
Azores 321 65.91 165 33.88 0 0.00 1 487 4,677
Madeira 493 40.28 725 59.23 6 0.49 0 1,224 1896
Europe 117 54.67 77 35.98 19 8.88 1 214 892
Outside of Europe 144 49.32 100 34.25 48 16.44 0 292 752

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Mário Centeno: 21%; Other: 2%; Undecided: 27%
  2. ^ Fernando Medina: 19%; Carlos César: 6%; Other: 3%; Undecided: 33%
  3. ^ Mário Centeno: 29%; Other: 2%; Undecided: 16%

References

  1. ^ "PS vai escolher o próximo secretário-geral a 15 e 16 de dezembro. Congresso marcado para 6 e 7 de janeiro". CNN Portugal (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-10.
  2. ^ "António Costa demite-se: "Obviamente"". CNN Portugal (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-07.
  3. ^ "Pedro Nuno Santos eleito secretário-geral do PS com 62%". sicnoticias.pt. SIC Notícias. 17 December 2020.
  4. ^ Renascença (2023-11-10). "José Luís Carneiro vai anunciar candidatura ao PS - Renascença". Rádio Renascença (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-10.
  5. ^ Demony, Catarina; Goncalves, Sergio (2023-11-13). "Portugal's youthful ex-minister joins race for premiership". Reuters. Retrieved 2023-11-14.
  6. ^ Nascimento, Francisco (2023-11-17). "Daniel Adrião é o terceiro candidato à liderança do PS. Conheça o crítico de Costa". TSF (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-17.
  7. ^ "Ana Catarina Mendes coloca-se fora da corrida à sucessão de Costa". TSF Rádio Notícias (in European Portuguese). 2023-11-09. Retrieved 2023-11-09.
  8. ^ "Telefone de Seguro tocou mais após "turbilhão" em que país mergulhou". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 2023-11-10. Retrieved 2023-11-27.
  9. ^ Observador, Rádio. "Fernando Medina afasta candidatura à liderança do PS". Observador (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-10.
  10. ^ Tavares, Mariana Lima Cunha, Rita. "Francisco Assis almoça com Pedro Nuno Santos e não disputa liderança do PS". Observador (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-08.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  11. ^ "Mariana Vieira da Silva não apoia nenhum dos candidatos à liderança do PS e admite dificuldade em "virar a página"". RTP (in European Portuguese). 2023-11-22.
  12. ^ "Temido a liderar PS? "Num futuro muito distante tudo é possível, no imediato é momento de serenidade"". TSF (in European Portuguese). 2023-11-07.
  13. ^ Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de (2023-11-08). "Marta Temido afasta possível candidatura à liderança do PS". Marta Temido afasta possível candidatura à liderança do PS (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-09.
  14. ^ "Exclusivo: Centeno admitiu ser PM de emergência - mas não será candidato ao PS". TVI Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-10.
  15. ^ a b c d e f "Carneiro soma apoios e tenta contrariar ímpeto de Pedro Nuno". Jornal de Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-16.
  16. ^ a b c "Correia de Campos apoia José Luís Carneiro na corrida à liderança do PS". Público (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-13.
  17. ^ "Ministra da Justiça apoia José Luís Carneiro na corrida à liderança do PS". tsf (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-28.
  18. ^ a b c d e f "Medina apoia oficialmente José Luís Carneiro por defender uma "política de conta certas"". Público (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-19.
  19. ^ "Jorge Lacão apoia Carneiro para "defender o regime democrático dos riscos da radicalização"". Público (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-12.
  20. ^ "Maria de Belém apoia José Luís Carneiro na corrida pela sucessão de Costa". TSF (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-26.
  21. ^ "Eleições no PS: António Sales será mandatário de José Luís Carneiro". Jornal de Leiria (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-16.
  22. ^ "Eleições: Augusto Santos Silva oficializa apoio a José Luís Carneiro". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-16.
  23. ^ a b c d e "Cafôfo e Jamila Madeira apoiam Carneiro a líder do PS". TSF (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-13.
  24. ^ "Brilhante Dias apoia José Luís Carneiro com o objectivo de "ganhar as eleições" ao PSD". Público (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-12-03.
  25. ^ a b "Capoulas Santos declara apoio a José Luís Carneiro". Correio da Manhã (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-12.
  26. ^ "PS: Paulo Pisco declara apoio a José Luís Carneiro". Bom Dia Europa (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-12.
  27. ^ "Lacerda Sales e Carlos Zorrinho apoiam José Luís Carneiro e assumem responsabilidades na campanha". Observador (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-16.
  28. ^ "Histórico dirigente da distrital de Braga apoia José Luís Carneiro à liderança do PS". O Minho (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-12.
  29. ^ ""Tony Carreira grava vídeo de apoio a José Luís Carneiro"". Diário de Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-12-12.
  30. ^ a b c d e ""Quem são os seis ministros que apoiam Pedro Nuno Santos?"". CNN Portugal (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-19.
  31. ^ a b c d e f g "Maioria das Federações ao lado de Pedro Nuno Santos". Jornal de Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-14.
  32. ^ a b c d e f "Pedro Nuno promete aprender com os erros e distancia PS da Operação Influencer". Público (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-13.
  33. ^ a b c d e f g "Candidatura de Pedro Nuno à liderança do PS afirma ter apoio de 79 dos 120 deputados". Jornal de Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-19.
  34. ^ "Edite Estrela anuncia apoio a Pedro Nuno Santos na corrida ao PS". TSF (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-25.
  35. ^ a b "Pedro Nuno Santos apresenta candidatura à liderança do PS". TSF (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-13.
  36. ^ ""Oposto da indefinição." Isabel Moreira apoia candidatura de Pedro Nuno Santos". TSF (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-13.
  37. ^ "Manuel Alegre declara apoio a Pedro Nuno Santos: ex-ministro segue com vantagem na partida para as diretas". Expresso (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-16.
  38. ^ "Vereador da Câmara do Porto apoia candidatura de Pedro Nuno Santos à liderança do PS". Porto Canal (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-12.
  39. ^ "Ana Gomes: "Se Pedro Nuno se candidatar? Serei apoiante"". Observador (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-11.
  40. ^ "Assis apoia Pedro Nuno: "Não somos dois apparatchiks preocupados em ascender"". Público (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-13.
  41. ^ "Eurodeputada Sara Cerdas apoia candidatura de Pedro Nuno Santos". Jornal Económico (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-30.
  42. ^ a b "Apoiantes de Pedro Nuno Santos no Distrito de Braga". Digital de Vizela (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-12.
  43. ^ "Eduardo Vítor Rodrigues declara apoio à candidatura de Pedro Nuno Santos à liderança do PS". Porto Canal (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-11.
  44. ^ Encontro com Militantes e Simpatizantes - Leiria, retrieved 2023-11-24
  45. ^ "Walter Chicharro apoia Pedro Nuno Santos". Diário de Leiria (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-16.
  46. ^ "Comissão Nacional do PS: Costa não vai apoiar qualquer candidato à liderança". Sic Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-18.
  47. ^ "Mariana Vieira da Silva não apoia nenhum dos candidatos à liderança do PS e admite dificuldade em "virar a página"". RTP (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-22.
  48. ^ "Marta Temido: "Está instalado um ambiente de suspeição" em relação aos políticos". Público (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-30.
  49. ^ a b "A primeira diferença é logo na capa das moções: Pedro Nuno Santos sozinho, José Luís Carneiro rodeado de gente. Há 49+94 páginas que o país deve conhecer". CNN Portugal (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2 December 2023.
  50. ^ "Candidatos a Secretário-Geral do PS entregam candidaturas e moções políticas". Socialist Party (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2 December 2023.
  51. ^ "Carneiro e Adrião insistem em debates. Pedro Nuno recusa até os internos". Público (in Portuguese). 24 November 2023. Retrieved 2 December 2023.
  52. ^ a b "Resultados Eleições Internas 2023" (PDF). PS (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-12-18.

External links

  • PS Official website
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Socialist Party Leadership Elections